On Unfalsifiability


This is pretty straightforward.

1000 Christians have cancer. For the sake of argument, the chance of surviving this stage of cancer is 10%.

So, roughly 100 Christians will survive. They will come out of the hospital thinking that God had saved them.

So, 900 Christians will die. But still, this doesn’t disprove the glory of God — their relatives will come out of the morgue thinking that their loved ones are now in heaven.

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Now, 1000 Muslims have cancer. For the sake of argument, the chance of surviving this stage of cancer is 10%

So roughly 100 Muslims will survive. They will come out of the hospital thinking that Allah had saved them.

So, 900 Muslims will die. But still, this doesn’t prove the glory of Allah — their relatives will come out of the morgue thinking that their loved ones are now accompanied with 72 beautiful virgins in heaven.

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So because of the way statistics works, a Muslim or a Christian surviving cancer does very little to prove the power of God.

Because, religion relies on coincidence — of a favourable event occuring after a prayer has been made.  When a prayer is seemingly answered, it is taken by the believer to be a definite act of God.  But even so, when a prayer is not answered, who cares?  That still doesn’t disprove anything, because God probably has other plans for me which currently I am unaware of.

Since such “miracles” are always bound to happen, they are not proof of God, just as well as they are not proof of Allah.  In fact, they are just proof that statisticians are so awesome.

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